DISARMAMENT SCHEME IN ETHIOPIA TPLF, By Raayyaa Walloo!

DISARMAMENT SCHEME IN ETHIOPIA TPLF: By Raayyaa Walloo!

DISARMAMENT SCHEME IN ETHIOPIA TPLF,which has been propagating Tehadiso (overall reform) for almost a month, has recently been busy with disarming the civilians who are even legally armed while the TPLF has been and now are arming even Tigrayan youth and peasants. This indicates that the TPLF is not willing to bring any reform at all (it will never solve the problem peacefully by listening to the peoples’ demands) but trying to fool the peoples with its usual lies and gain time. We all know that disarmament plan is the move to leave the Oromos, Amharas and other Non-Tigrayans unarmed with the premise that they can continue to rule the unarmed non-Tigrayans unopposed militarily with guns. The ten months of Protest has proved that their premise has turned out to be incorrect. We recall that unarmed civilian peaceful protests have been increasingly intensified to greater degree of defying TPLF rule despite the genocidal indiscriminate use of shooting live bullets at demonstrators that has killed not less than a 1000 people and wounded thousands. Death, sustaining wounds or injury, imprisonment, and tortures have proved to be useless to stop the determined peoples from their protests and the demand

The ten months of Protest has proved that their premise has turned out to be incorrect. We recall that unarmed civilian peaceful protests have been increasingly intensified to greater degree of defying TPLF rule despite the genocidal indiscriminate use of shooting live bullets at demonstrators that has killed not less than a 1000 people and wounded thousands. Death, sustaining wounds or injury, imprisonment, and tortures have proved to be useless to stop the determined peoples from their protests and the demand

Death, sustaining wounds or injury, imprisonment, and tortures have proved to be useless to stop the determined peoples from their protests and the demand of political change. This phenomenon dictates the dynamism of the planned discriminative disarmament of non-Tigrayans by the TPLF. Moreover, it has now been indicative that people have started to use weapons to defend themselves against the TPLF’s SOLE decision to disarm the Amharas and Oromos ignoring and passing by the regional parties of the ANDM and OPDO. The incident in Bale recently and in Arsi this week is a manifestation of the need to use armed protest (violence) against the TPLF missions to disarm the civilians who have never used weapons in their peaceful protests. Now the resistance to disarmament while TPLF is arming Tigrayans and using Agazi Special Forces to forcefully suppress peoples’ demands and while seeing armed Tigrayan soldiers roaming among the population worsens the conflict to a matter of LIFE and DEATH. The action of the TPLF to disarm

Now the resistance to disarmament while TPLF is arming Tigrayans and using Agazi Special Forces to forcefully suppress peoples’ demands and while seeing armed Tigrayan soldiers roaming among the population worsens the conflict to a matter of LIFE and DEATH. The action of the TPLF to disarm non-Tigrayans indicates that they will never solve the problem peacefully by listening to the peoples demands. By the discriminatory disarmament of non-Tigrayans, the TPLF itself will trigger the transformation of the struggle or resistance to whole-scale ARMED COFLICT. The TPLF leaders think that they have enough weapons to rule by force and they can deny weapons the other peoples. It is a recent observation that the boasting of being armed and strong security could not save Gadhafi and Hosni Mubarak from losing power. It should be noted again that the adamant move of TPLF alone (without the CONSENT of OPDO and ANDM) will lead to the Libyan example. It turned out that the arrogance of Gadhafi’s boasting of his military power and security forces built with

The TPLF leaders think that they have enough weapons to rule by force and they can deny weapons the other peoples. It is a recent observation that the boasting of being armed and strong security could not save Gadhafi and Hosni Mubarak from losing power. It should be noted again that the adamant move of TPLF alone (without the CONSENT of OPDO and ANDM) will lead to the Libyan example. It turned out that the arrogance of Gadhafi’s boasting of his military power and security forces built with petro-dollars could not stop Libyan people’s peaceful protests. The use of forces by Gadhafi regime to quell the protests transformed the peaceful protest into armed resistance. The people of Libya could use their own money and smuggle guns and ammunitions into Libya and fought fiercely against the suppressing forces of Gadhafi. The use of force against own people in turn resulted in the devastating impact of disintegrating the Libyan army where the members of the Libyan army, police and even security force joined their people with their armaments. In Ethiopia, it has still been reported that even there are problems in the Regular Army, the Police and Agazi forces. It has been reported that several individuals are

The use of force against own people in turn resulted in the devastating impact of disintegrating the Libyan army where the members of the Libyan army, police and even security force joined their people with their armaments. In Ethiopia, it has still been reported that even there are problems in the Regular Army, the Police and Agazi forces. It has been reported that several individuals are disserting from the army with weapons; there have been incidents of fighting between Tigrayan soldiers and non-Tigrayan soldiers; and there are incidents of disappearance of armed soldiers after killing their Tigrayan commanders. It is expected that that such incidents will worsen or intensify as the civilians resort to armed resistance increases, and hence, to the weakening and withering away of the Regime’s armed forces whereby even Tigrayan soldiers would not be willing to fight for the TPLF Regime.

Worse than all, the move of the TPLF leaders to go on with their resolve to disarm non-Tigraians derived by their arrogance. The arrogance of TPLF and not learning from the separate symptoms of the incidents of small armed clashes, which is developing to the Libyan case under their nose shows they are really blind. Funny enough, TPLF has never been proactive but reactive to routine actions of the protestors in the last ten months. The people have gone far ahead of the TPLF in consciousness (though Abbay Tsehaye falsely alleged that peoples’ conscious is very low to understand what they are doing) and and creative thus always moving 2-steps ahead of the TPLF. This blindness is the curse of God because they have transgressed beyond limits and due to their immoral behavior to suppress peoples’ demand for their freedom and right. The TPLF’s very few top leaders are exhausted confronting and reacting to the actions devised and taken by millions of Ethiopians. Still TPLFites thinks that they are SMART and are attempting actions that aggravate the resistance. The ongoing trial now to disarm Amharas and Oromos has a backfiring action. TPLF may think that if they disarm and collect all weapons from the civilian masses, the

The TPLF’s very few top leaders are exhausted confronting and reacting to the actions devised and taken by millions of Ethiopians. Still TPLFites thinks that they are SMART and are attempting actions that aggravate the resistance. The ongoing trial now to disarm Amharas and Oromos has a backfiring action. TPLF may think that if they disarm and collect all weapons from the civilian masses, the non-Tigrayans will remain unarmed and continue to accept Tigrayan dominance and TPLF sole rule. BOTH ARE IMPOSSIBLE. First of all, they cannot disarm all the people completely and there will still be arms in the hands of the people. That means there would still be armed resistance or clashes with the people. This worsens the situation, which necessitates the investment of the peoples into the purchase and smuggling of more weapons from different alternatives. On the one hand, in Ethiopia where the living cost is getting very high, the TPLF armed forces themselves are the potential for the purchase of weapons even at reasonable prices. The army members who have now severe financial difficulties and those fed up of ugly exercise of force against civilians will need to sell their weapons and flee the country. As human beings, some army members would feel the pain of the suffering of their own relatives and kin in the hands of the TPLF and would join the resistance in significant numbers. On the other hand, the Horn of Africa is one of the Hot Spots for potential Conflicts. The turbulent South Sudan can be a source from which to smuggle weapons via the networks that could be secretly set up into Gambella. Additionally, the failed state of Somalia and Somaliland are the areas where huge amount of armament deals are made and these areas could provide potential sources of smuggling weapons if secret networks are set up in Ogaden. Moreover,

BOTH ARE IMPOSSIBLE. First of all, they cannot disarm all the people completely and there will still be arms in the hands of the people. That means there would still be armed resistance or clashes with the people. This worsens the situation, which necessitates the investment of the peoples into the purchase and smuggling of more weapons from different alternatives. On the one hand, in Ethiopia where the living cost is getting very high, the TPLF armed forces themselves are the potential for the purchase of weapons even at reasonable prices. The army members who have now severe financial difficulties and those fed up of ugly exercise of force against civilians will need to sell their weapons and flee the country. As human beings, some army members would feel the pain of the suffering of their own relatives and kin in the hands of the TPLF and would join the resistance in significant numbers. On the other hand, the Horn of Africa is one of the Hot Spots for potential Conflicts. The turbulent South Sudan can be a source from which to smuggle weapons via the networks that could be secretly set up into Gambella. Additionally, the failed state of Somalia and Somaliland are the areas where huge amount of armament deals are made and these areas could provide potential sources of smuggling weapons if secret networks are set up in Ogaden. Moreover, The army members who have now severe financial difficulties and those fed up of ugly exercise of force against civilians will need to sell their weapons and flee the country. As human beings, some army members would feel the pain of the suffering of their own relatives and kin in the hands of the TPLF and would join the resistance in significant numbers. On the other hand, the Horn of Africa is one of the Hot Spots for potential Conflicts. The turbulent South Sudan can be a source from which to smuggle weapons via the networks that could be secretly set up into Gambella. Additionally, the failed state of Somalia and Somaliland are the areas where huge amount of armament deals are made and these areas could provide potential sources of smuggling weapons if secret networks are set up in Ogaden. Moreover, Affar region could be a potential source of smuggling arms. Kenya, Djibouti and Eritrea cannot be neutral to the phenomena. It must be noted that such smugglings and the rise of demands for weapons will attract even International weapon dealers in the Horn of Africa region. That was how Libyans civilians could arm themselves and defeated their stupid but arrogant regime. So, TPLF leaders should remember that people are creative and would do their best in order to counteract to the moves of their enemy. The more the TPLF pushes upon the peoples with the scheme of disarmament, the more will be the intensity of the armed resistance. This will stretch the TPLF army at the war fronts and in all Ethiopian dwelling villages where the peoples will continue to protest with intensity. The stretching of the TPLF army would aggravate or worsen the current loose stretch of its army to rule Oromia with 8 military governance zones and to rule Amhara with 5 military governance zones. The intensification of the stretching of the TPLF forces will have the cumulative impact of devastating consequences of (1) the final downfall of the TPLF regime, (2) the loss to the TPLF as an organization (the final fate of the Dergue), TPLF leaders, top cadres and thousands of army commanders who have enriched themselves by corruption, (3) the saddening loss of human lives from both sides, and (4) the natural impact of war, the destruction of the infrastructure in Ethiopia. Finally, it would be good to note that the TPLF has not any leader after the death of Meles. Even though Meles was the architect of the current system, he showed flexibility with pragmatism to handle critical events. For example, in 2005, when the Kinijit (CUD) won in many constituencies, Meles was quick enough to foresee the looming future and to seek alliance against the Amhara Elites in the CUD. He personally met and asked the OLF to join the government unconditionally as a counter to the threat from Amhara Elites. The OLF could not trust and buy the offer and it failed. Even after that Meles indirectly hinted publicly that Mr. Lencho Lata knows how and when to contact him if necessary. Today, the headless TPLFites do not have such wisdom and pragmatism for flexibility. They rather blindfold themselves and head towards the war they will never win. Ignoring the peoples’ demands for change, ignoring and excluding the Ethiopian oppositions who are stakeholders to the solution of the problem, but moving towards the militarization of the conflict with citizens by disarming

It must be noted that such smugglings and the rise of demands for weapons will attract even International weapon dealers in the Horn of Africa region. That was how Libyans civilians could arm themselves and defeated their stupid but arrogant regime. So, TPLF leaders should remember that people are creative and would do their best in order to counteract to the moves of their enemy. The more the TPLF pushes upon the peoples with the scheme of disarmament, the more will be the intensity of the armed resistance. This will stretch the TPLF army at the war fronts and in all Ethiopian dwelling villages where the peoples will continue to protest with intensity. The stretching of the TPLF army would aggravate or worsen the current loose stretch of its army to rule Oromia with 8 military governance zones and to rule Amhara with 5 military governance zones. The intensification of the stretching of the TPLF forces will have the cumulative impact of devastating consequences of (1) the final downfall of the TPLF regime, (2) the loss to the TPLF as an organization (the final fate of the Dergue), TPLF leaders, top cadres and thousands of army commanders who have enriched themselves by corruption, (3) the saddening loss of human lives from both sides, and (4) the natural impact of war, the destruction of the infrastructure in Ethiopia. Finally, it would be good to note that the TPLF has not any leader after the death of Meles. Even though Meles was the architect of the current system, he showed flexibility with pragmatism to handle critical events. For example, in 2005, when the Kinijit (CUD) won in many constituencies, Meles was quick enough to foresee the looming future and to seek alliance against the Amhara Elites in the CUD. He personally met and asked the OLF to join the government unconditionally as a counter to the threat from Amhara Elites. The OLF could not trust and buy the offer and it failed. Even after that Meles indirectly hinted publicly that Mr. Lencho Lata knows how and when to contact him if necessary. Today, the headless TPLFites do not have such wisdom and pragmatism for flexibility. They rather blindfold themselves and head towards the war they will never win. Ignoring the peoples’ demands for change, ignoring and excluding the Ethiopian oppositions who are stakeholders to the solution of the problem, but moving towards the militarization of the conflict with citizens by disarming

This will stretch the TPLF army at the war fronts and in all Ethiopian dwelling villages where the peoples will continue to protest with intensity. The stretching of the TPLF army would aggravate or worsen the current loose stretch of its army to rule Oromia with 8 military governance zones and to rule Amhara with 5 military governance zones. The intensification of the stretching of the TPLF forces will have the cumulative impact of devastating consequences of (1) the final downfall of the TPLF regime, (2) the loss to the TPLF as an organization (the final fate of the Dergue), TPLF leaders, top cadres and thousands of army commanders who have enriched themselves by corruption, (3) the saddening loss of human lives from both sides, and (4) the natural impact of war, the destruction of the infrastructure in Ethiopia. Finally, it would be good to note that the TPLF has not any leader after the death of Meles.

Even though Meles was the architect of the current system, he showed flexibility with pragmatism to handle critical events. For example, in 2005, when the Kinijit (CUD) won in many constituencies, Meles was quick enough to foresee the looming future and to seek alliance against the Amhara Elites in the CUD. He personally met and asked the OLF to join the government unconditionally as a counter to the threat from Amhara Elites. The OLF could not trust and buy the offer and it failed. Even after that Meles indirectly hinted publicly that Mr. Lencho Lata knows how and when to contact him if necessary. Today, the headless TPLFites do not have such wisdom and pragmatism for flexibility.

They rather blindfold themselves and head towards the war they will never win. Ignoring the peoples’ demands for change, ignoring and excluding the Ethiopian oppositions who are stakeholders to the solution of the problem, but moving towards the militarization of the conflict with citizens by disarming non-Tigrayans is the arrogance that would lead to inevitable downfall.

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